Strategy11 min readSeptember 15, 2024

PrizePicks Workflow

How to Beat PrizePicks w/ Upside

Use Upside to turn a DFS board into a ranked edge list.

PrizePicks is beatable when you stop building from opinions and start building from market disagreement. Upside shows which projections are mispriced, which platforms still have the line, and which slips let the edge survive payout math.

Filter the Props Optimizer to PrizePicks, sort by EV percentage, verify each projection, and build slips where every leg is independently +EV.

Why PrizePicks can be beaten

PrizePicks projections do not always move as quickly as the sharp sportsbook market. When that gap appears, the projection becomes playable before the platform corrects it.

The key is not finding one favorite player. The key is identifying which projections are currently priced worse than the market says they should be.

Upside Props Optimizer screenshot filtered to PrizePicks with rows ranked by expected value percentage.
Filter to PrizePicks, sort by EV percentage, and confirm each projection before adding it to a slip.

Find edges in the Optimizer

Open the Props Optimizer, filter the platform to PrizePicks, and sort descending by EV percentage. The top rows are the projections where the market gap is strongest.

Click into a row when you need more context. Confirm the projection is still available in the app and that the consensus price has not moved enough to erase the edge.

Build the slip around price

A PrizePicks slip should start with individually +EV legs. Once the legs are selected, compare entry types. Short entries feel safer, but larger flex entries can offer better implied pricing.

Mixing sports and games can reduce obvious correlation penalties, but each leg still needs its own edge. Do not use a weak leg just to complete a target count.

Entry type mindset

2-leg power
Use sparingly

Often expensive per leg.

5-leg flex
Core workflow

Better long-run pricing for +EV legs.

6-leg flex
High-volume option

Works best when the board is deep.

Avoid common traps

Do not chase a projection after it moves. Do not add a low-edge leg because it completes the slip. Do not treat hit rate as profit. Long-run ROI comes from price, edge, and repetition.

Daily PrizePicks loop

1

Filter to PrizePicks

Start inside the Props Optimizer with only available projections.

2

Sort by EV

Work from the highest edge down until the slip is full.

3

Submit and log

Record each entry so volume can prove whether the process is working.

Connect this page to the math guide

This article is the workflow. The related math guide explains why line discrepancies, correlation, and slip types matter. Use both together: one tells you why the edge exists, the other shows how to execute it inside Upside.

Article FAQs

How many legs should I use on PrizePicks?

For +EV workflows, 5-leg and 6-leg flex entries often preserve better pricing than short power entries.

Why use Upside instead of projections alone?

Projections do not always tell you whether the platform line is better than the broader market. Upside compares price to market consensus.

Should every leg be +EV?

Yes. The slip starts with individually +EV legs, then entry type and correlation are considered afterward.

Ready to apply this?

Find today's PrizePicks board

Filter the Props Optimizer to PrizePicks and build from the highest-EV projections.